PAB(SZ:000001) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-10-28 12:34Core Viewpoint - The revenue and profit decline of Ping An Bank continues to narrow in the first three quarters of 2025, indicating a potential stabilization in financial performance. Revenue and Profit Summary - For the first three quarters, the operating revenue decreased by 9.8% year-on-year, a reduction of 0.3 percentage points compared to the first half of 2025. In Q3, the revenue decline was 9.2%, down 2.2 percentage points from Q2, primarily due to rising bond market interest rates impacting non-interest income [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 3.5% year-on-year in the first three quarters, with a 0.4 percentage point reduction compared to the first half of 2025. In Q3, the net profit decline was 2.8%, down 1.2 percentage points from Q2 [1] Retail and Corporate Loan Performance - Retail loans showed positive growth, with a loan growth rate of 1% as of the end of Q3, marking the first positive growth since June 2024. Retail loans increased by 3.21 billion yuan in Q3, the first positive growth in the second half of 2023 [1] - In the corporate sector, the bank continued to reduce low-yield bill loans, which decreased by 18.38 billion yuan in Q3, while increasing general corporate loans by 24.42 billion yuan [1] Net Interest Margin and Income - The net interest margin for Q3 was 1.79%, an increase of 3 basis points from Q2. This stabilization in net interest margin led to a year-on-year decline in net interest income of 6%, which was a narrower decline compared to Q2 [2] - The cost of interest-bearing liabilities decreased significantly, with a cost rate of 1.61% in Q3, down 13 basis points from Q2 [2] Asset Quality and Risk Management - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 1.05% at the end of Q3, with the attention rate decreasing by 2 basis points to 1.74%. The provision coverage ratio was 229.6%, down 8.9 percentage points from Q2 [4] - Retail asset quality improved, with the retail NPL ratio at 1.24%, a decrease of 3 basis points from Q2. The improvement was attributed to better asset quality in credit card and personal consumption loans [4] - The corporate NPL ratio increased to 0.86%, attributed to the reduction of low-risk bill business and exposure to risks in certain industries, particularly in real estate [4] Future Outlook and Profit Forecast - The revenue and profit decline has been narrowing since Q2 2025, with retail adjustments nearing completion. The reduction of high-risk retail loans is expected to conclude, and the implementation of domestic demand expansion policies is anticipated to boost loan growth [5] - The forecast for operating revenue growth for 2025-2027 is -5.5%, 3.7%, and 7.0%, respectively, while net profit growth is projected at 0.3%, 4.6%, and 7.8% [6][7]