21.6%！ 9月规上工企利润同比大增

Core Insights - The profit of industrial enterprises above designated size in China increased by 3.2% year-on-year in the first nine months of the year, marking the highest cumulative growth rate since August of the previous year, with 26 industries showing improved profit growth or reduced declines [1][3] - In September alone, the profit growth rate surged to 21.6% year-on-year, an acceleration of 1.2 percentage points compared to August [2][3] Industry Performance - In September, 30 out of 41 major industrial sectors reported profit growth, with significant increases in sectors such as mining, pharmaceuticals, and chemical fiber manufacturing, where profits grew by over 100% month-on-month [5][6] - The mining sector's profit growth was primarily driven by a decrease in cost rates, which fell from 90.8% to 89%, leading to a profit margin increase from 1.1% to 2.3% [6][7] - The pharmaceutical manufacturing sector saw a profit increase due to a 31% year-on-year revenue growth and a seasonal decline in cost rates, with profit margins rising from 10% in August to 17% in September [6][7] - The chemical fiber manufacturing sector experienced a profit improvement despite a 2% decline in revenue, attributed to a rise in profit margins from 2.1% in August to 4.6% in September, supported by a 1.2 percentage point decrease in cost rates [7] Economic Factors - The significant profit increase in September is partly attributed to a low base effect from the previous year, where profits had decreased by 27.6% [3][4] - The overall profit growth is supported by a rebound in the Producer Price Index (PPI) and a continuous decline in expense ratios, which fell from 8.9% last year to 8.3% this year [3][4] - Future profit sustainability may depend on domestic demand expansion policies and external economic conditions, including U.S.-China negotiations and Federal Reserve interest rate paths [4]