LGI Homes(US:LGIH) ZACKS·2025-10-28 15:07Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for LGI Homes due to lower revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - LGI Homes is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.02 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 65.4%, with revenues projected at $416.73 million, down 36.1% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 9.77% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that the Most Accurate Estimate for LGI Homes is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -5.21% [12]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 5, indicating a bearish outlook, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, LGI Homes exceeded expectations by delivering earnings of $1.36 per share against an expected $1.21, resulting in a surprise of +12.40% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [14]. Conclusion - LGI Homes does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, and investors should consider additional factors when evaluating the stock ahead of the earnings release [17].