Oportun Financial (US:OPRT) ZACKS·2025-10-28 15:07Core Viewpoint - Oportun Financial Corporation (OPRT) is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings despite lower revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with the actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for Oportun Financial's quarterly earnings is $0.26 per share, reflecting a significant year-over-year increase of +1200% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $238.85 million, which is a decrease of 4.5% compared to the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised 3% lower, indicating a reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Oportun Financial is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -13.73%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the likelihood of actual earnings deviating from consensus estimates, with a positive reading being a strong predictor of an earnings beat [9][10]. - Oportun Financial currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), complicating predictions regarding an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Oportun Financial exceeded the expected earnings of $0.22 per share by delivering $0.31, resulting in a surprise of +40.91% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Industry Comparison - Acadian Asset Management (AAMI), another player in the Zacks Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, is expected to report earnings of $0.73 per share for the same quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +23.7% [18]. - AAMI's revenues are anticipated to be $145.62 million, up 18.3% from the previous year, with a recent EPS estimate revision of +5.1% [19].