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调研了49家欧美机构,花旗梳理出外资当前最关心中国科技股的核心话题
智通财经网·2025-10-28 15:01

Core Insights - Citi's report highlights increasing interest from long-term institutional investors in China's technology sector, focusing on quality Hong Kong-listed tech stocks, AI supply chains, and innovations in consumer electronics [1] Part 1: Global AI Supply Chain - Investors are primarily concerned with the reflection of AI-related expectations in stock prices and the selection of supply chain targets among Hong Kong and Chinese stocks [2] - Citi notes potential upside and risks, with increased capital expenditure in cloud services and AI expected in 2026, and visibility on demand improving by 2027 [2] - The preferred order of investment targets includes companies with expansion opportunities in optical modules, PCB companies with Rubin/ASIC technology upgrades, and ODM firms benefiting from AI server/switch demand growth [3] Part 2: Chinese AI Demand - Investor focus on Chinese AI centers around Alibaba's data center capital expenditure for a tenfold expansion, AI chip supply capabilities, and commercialization paths for AI investments [4] - Despite China's competitive edge in computer/data science, challenges remain in AI chip supply, with software breakthroughs seen as key to narrowing the gap [4] - Companies like GDS Holdings and Century Internet have disappointed foreign investors despite potential benefits from China's AI capital expenditure due to uncertainties in data center supply and client onboarding [4] Part 3: Consumer Electronics Supply Chain - Interest in foldable iPhones has surged, with expectations for better-than-previously forecasted performance in 2026-2027, and a price point potentially exceeding $2,500 [5] - Key beneficiaries include Lens Technology, which has a product value contribution of $140-150 per foldable iPhone, and Luxshare Precision, which is gaining attention as a quality supplier [5] - Xiaomi faces scrutiny over factory progress, stock price support levels, and the impact of storage price fluctuations on its electric vehicle business [6] Part 4: Emerging Opportunities - Interest in smart glasses is rising, recognized as important edge devices for AI commercialization, with companies like Goertek and Sunny Optical seen as key beneficiaries [7] - Domestic semiconductor capacity is expected to meet AI chip demand by 2026, but local photolithography equipment is limited to 14nm processes [7] Part 5: AI Commercialization in China - Investors believe that AI large language models struggle to monetize in the ToC sector, while the ToB sector focuses on software products for SMEs with selective demand [8] - The number of AI agents in China is expected to grow exponentially with the implementation of "AI+" policies, but market concentration is unlikely in the next 5-10 years due to the fragmented software industry [8] - Key foreign-investor targets include Kingdee International, with additional interest in cybersecurity and AI software firms like iFlytek and SenseTime [9]