Builders FirstSource Set to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in Store?

Core Insights - Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) is expected to report its third-quarter 2025 results on October 30, prior to market opening [1] - The company's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.3%, while net sales slightly missed by 0.1% [1] - Year-over-year, both net sales and EPS declined by 5% and 32%, respectively [1] Earnings Performance - BLDR's earnings have surpassed the consensus estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 1.11% [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the upcoming quarter's EPS has decreased to $1.69 from $1.71, indicating a 45% decline from the $3.07 reported in the same quarter last year [3] - The consensus estimate for net sales is projected at $3.80 billion, reflecting a 10.3% decrease from $4.23 billion in the previous year [3] Factors Influencing Q3 Results - The anticipated decline in net sales is attributed to challenges in the housing market, including high mortgage rates and persistent inflation, which have negatively impacted housing starts [4] - The multi-family and single-family customer segments are also experiencing declining trends, contributing to the overall sales downturn [4] - BLDR expects net sales for Q3 to be between $3.65 billion and $3.95 billion, down from $4.23 billion in the prior year [5] - The value-added product category, which includes manufactured products and windows, doors, and millwork, is likely to face adverse effects from ongoing market headwinds [5] - Despite these challenges, the company's focus on strategic acquisitions, digital solutions, and investments in innovative products may provide some support to its quarterly performance [6] Earnings Outlook - The bottom line is expected to decline year-over-year due to margin normalization in single-family and multi-family segments, along with reduced operating leverage [7] - BLDR anticipates adjusted EBITDA in the range of $375 million to $425 million, down from $626.5 million reported in the same quarter last year [8] Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for Builders FirstSource, as the company has an Earnings ESP of -2.73% and a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell) [10][11]