上证指数十年来首触4000点 行情延续性具备基本面支撑

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Composite Index has reached the significant 4000-point mark for the first time since August 2015, indicating a fundamental shift in market dynamics and structural revaluation supported by the underlying economy [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - As of October 28, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3988.22 points after a slight decline of 0.22% [1] - The margin trading balance has exceeded 2.48 trillion yuan, setting a new historical record, with a notable increase of 248.22 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] - On October 27, the total margin trading balance reached 24,820.12 billion yuan, with financing balance at 24,642.88 billion yuan and securities lending balance at 177.25 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Market Drivers - The current market rally is driven by improvements in the industrial fundamentals and long-term policy support, rather than short-term sentiment [2] - The performance of technology sector companies is expected to exceed expectations, with significant revenue and net profit growth projected for the first three quarters of 2025 [2] - The central bank's resumption of government bond trading and regulatory enhancements for foreign investors are expected to bolster market confidence [2] Group 3: Investment Strategy - Analysts recommend focusing on three main investment themes: 1. "Hard technology" sectors, including semiconductors, AI computing power, industrial software, and high-end equipment [3] 2. Sectors benefiting from policy support and domestic demand recovery, particularly those with historically low valuations [3] 3. High dividend and low valuation defensive sectors, such as banking, electricity, and public utilities, which offer stable cash flows and valuation recovery potential [3]