Workflow
Macro stock market is not in a bubble, says OpenInterest's Mike Khouw
Youtubeยท2025-10-28 19:02

Market Overview - The macro markets are reaching record highs, indicating a strong market sentiment [1] - There are discussions around whether the current market is in a bubble, with differing opinions on the valuation of stocks [2][5] Valuation Insights - There is a distinction between expensive stocks and valuable companies, with many firms showing strong profit margins and growth [3] - Current valuations are not irrational compared to historical peaks, such as Cisco's peak valuation of over 200 times earnings, while Nvidia is trading at less than 30 times earnings with a 30% year-on-year growth [4] AI and Market Sentiment - Concerns about a potential bubble in AI are addressed, with the assertion that AI will be a significant part of the new economy [7][8] - The current enthusiasm for AI is not viewed as irrational, contrasting with past market behaviors during events like the pandemic [6] Company-Specific Analysis - Nvidia is not considered overvalued, while Amazon is also viewed as fairly valued [10] - Apple is trading at 32-33 times earnings, which raises questions about its valuation despite showing better top-line growth [10][11] - The growth metrics for Apple are compared to the S&P 500, indicating that it needs to outperform the index to justify its valuation [11][12]