QBTS Stock Ahead of Q3 Earnings: Should Investors Buy or Wait?

Core Insights - D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) is set to report its Q3 2025 results on November 6, 2025, with optimistic investor sentiment driven by recent commercial successes and the launch of its Advantage2 quantum computer, which has enhanced system capabilities and customer interest [1][8] - The company's stock experienced a significant increase of 66.7% during the July-September quarter [1] Financial Performance - D-Wave has reported one earnings beat in the last four quarters, with an average negative surprise of 269.45% [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q3 EPS remains unchanged at a loss of $0.07 per share, indicating a 36.4% improvement from the previous year's loss [4] - Q3 revenue is estimated at $3.12 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 66.8% [4] - For 2025, revenues are expected to increase by 181.5% year-over-year, with the bottom line improving to a loss of $0.24 per share from a loss of $0.75 a year ago [5] Market Developments - D-Wave has made significant strides in commercial progress, securing new customer wins in quantum sensing, cybersecurity, and AI, including a notable purchase order from a top 5 U.S. bank for quantum security [9][10] - The company has expanded partnerships with NASA and other global institutions, enhancing its market presence [8][11] Technology and Partnerships - Recent product launches include the EmuCore reservoir computing device, supporting machine learning research, and advancements in quantum-powered LIDAR data processing through NASA collaborations [11] - The operational photonic chip foundry in Arizona is ramping up production for various sectors, contributing positively to Q3 revenues [11] Operational and Financial Trends - In the last reported quarter, D-Wave's revenues were $61,000 with a gross margin of 43%, while operating expenses reached $10.2 million, leading to a net loss of $36.5 million [12] - Total assets increased to $426.1 million, with cash holdings rising to $348.8 million after a $188 million private placement, strengthening the company's balance sheet [13] Valuation - D-Wave's stock is currently trading at a forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 331.65, significantly higher than the industry average of 5.63, indicating potential risks if Q3 results do not meet expectations [20][22]