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中国银河证券:“十五五”时期 文旅、养老、托育等消费领域有望迎来政策加码
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-10-29 00:27

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that insufficient effective demand remains a prominent contradiction restricting domestic economic development during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, highlighting the need to boost consumption as a priority for expanding domestic demand and strengthening the domestic cycle [1] Group 1: Economic Context - The traditional investment growth rate is slowing down due to structural adjustments in the economy, while external uncertainties are increasing, putting pressure on export-dependent enterprises [1] - Compared to developed countries, China's household consumption rate is still relatively low, indicating a significant opportunity for growth in this area [1] Group 2: Policy Implications - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is expected to focus on reforms in income distribution, providing high-quality consumption supply, and improving long-term mechanisms to promote consumption, thereby unlocking consumption potential [1] - Coordinated efforts on both supply and demand sides are leading to the emergence of a new wave of consumption [1] Group 3: Consumption Trends - Service consumption is identified as a crucial area for boosting overall consumption, with sectors such as cultural tourism, elderly care, and childcare expected to receive increased policy support [1]