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新洋丰(000902)2025年三季报点评:业绩符合预期 持续完善产业链布局

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 13.475 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.96% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.374 billion yuan, up 23.43% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 1.326 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 23.87% [1] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a single-quarter revenue of 4.077 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.25%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 13.81% [1] Revenue and Profit Analysis - The strong sales growth of new fertilizers contributed to the company's performance, despite a decline in conventional fertilizer sales due to delayed autumn fertilization plans caused by higher-than-average rainfall in northern regions [2] - New fertilizer sales increased by 24% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, enabling the company to achieve revenue and profit growth despite weak terminal demand [2] - The company benefited from exporting phosphate fertilizer products, which provided additional revenue and profit in Q3 2025 due to significantly higher overseas prices compared to domestic prices [2] Margin and Expense Insights - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was approximately 20.14%, an increase of 3.95 percentage points year-on-year and 3.62 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] - Research and development expenses surged to 254 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, marking a substantial increase of 163.67% year-on-year, which is expected to enhance product quality in new fertilizers and fine chemicals [2] Strategic Developments - The company is actively enhancing its industrial chain layout to solidify its leading position in the phosphate compound fertilizer sector, with a total investment of approximately 9.6 billion yuan in a new materials circular economy industrial park project [3] - The first phase of this project will invest 5.2 billion yuan to establish various production capacities, including 1.5 million tons per year of mining and multiple phosphate-related products [3] - Additionally, the company plans to invest 1.15 billion yuan in a new specialized fertilizer project in the Bengbu Huai Shang Chemical Park, which will include various types of fertilizers [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits attributable to shareholders to be 1.686 billion yuan, 1.890 billion yuan, and 2.148 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3] - The company continues to hold a "buy" rating based on its strong performance in new fertilizers and overall results meeting expectations [3]