Group 1 - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts that the U.S. government debt-to-GDP ratio will reach 143.4% by 2030, surpassing Italy and Greece for the first time this century [1] - The IMF also forecasts that the U.S. budget deficit will exceed 7% of GDP annually, the highest among all wealthy countries monitored by the fund this year and throughout the decade [1] - Despite the U.S. having a higher borrowing capacity due to the dollar being the global reserve currency, there is a shift in sentiment among U.S. politicians and investors regarding Europe's economic challenges as new data emerges [1] Group 2 - The end of quantitative tightening (QE) by the Federal Reserve may provide a smoother short-term debt financing strategy for the U.S. Treasury, potentially aligning the Fed's balance sheet with Treasury actions [3] - The focus will shift to the composition of the Fed's future balance sheet, with discussions on reducing the proportion of long-term bonds [3] - This change may open up the possibility for the Fed to purchase short-term securities, raising questions about the independence of the central bank [3]
IMF预计美国政府债务负担率将超过意大利和希腊
Huan Qiu Wang·2025-10-29 01:09