专访丨区域一体化有助于巩固亚洲经济可持续增长——访IMF亚太部主任斯里尼瓦桑

Core Viewpoint - Regional integration is essential for consolidating sustainable economic growth in Asia, especially in the context of trade tensions [1][2] Group 1: Economic Growth Projections - The IMF forecasts that Asia will grow by 4.5% in 2025 and 4.1% in 2026, with an upward revision from April's predictions due to strong export performance and supportive macroeconomic policies [1][2] - Asia is expected to contribute approximately 60% to global economic growth over the next two years, reinforcing its position as the largest growth engine globally [2] Group 2: Factors Supporting Growth - Key factors supporting the growth include lower overall tariff levels compared to previous forecasts, strong export performance, and favorable financial conditions across the region [1] - The need for targeted fiscal support for impacted industries and individuals, along with accommodative monetary policies in the context of low inflation, is emphasized to further stimulate the economy [2] Group 3: Regional Integration and Internal Demand - The report highlights that only about 30% of Asia's demand for final products comes from within the region, indicating significant potential for increased regional integration [2] - Strengthening regional integration can create larger markets for intermediate and final products, thereby enhancing sustainable growth prospects for Asia [2] Group 4: U.S.-China Cooperation - The cooperation between the U.S. and China, as the two largest economies, is crucial for global benefits, particularly in terms of demand for goods, including intermediate products [2]