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本轮牛市会在4000点上方停留多久?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen·2025-10-29 04:58

Core Viewpoint - The market has recently broken through the 4000-point mark for the first time in a decade, indicating a significant milestone in the current market cycle [1][9]. Market Performance - The current bull market is characterized by extreme differentiation, with high-growth sectors like AI hardware being highly valued and traditional sectors like certain cyclical and consumer sectors remaining at relatively low valuations [2][3]. - The A-share market saw a slight decline today, with the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index dropping between 0.15% and 0.44% [9]. - Trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 21,479 billion, a decrease of 1,923 billion from the previous day [9]. Strategic Insights - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes technology as a key investment area, focusing on strategic emerging industries such as new energy, aerospace, and advanced materials [6][7][8]. - The plan is expected to direct resources and funding towards the technology sector over the coming years, potentially boosting related stocks [8]. Sector Analysis - The technology sector is showing promising signs, with core stocks like Industrial Fulian and Hua Hong Semiconductor breaking through their September highs, indicating a potential upward trend [17]. - The PCB and its upstream sectors have also performed well recently, suggesting a growing interest in these areas [17]. Market Outlook - The market is expected to experience some short-term adjustments, with a focus on the 4000-4180 point range for the Shanghai Composite Index as a critical observation point [11][13]. - Despite potential short-term pullbacks, the overall sentiment remains bullish, with an emphasis on identifying solid investment opportunities in high-potential sectors like AI hardware and military electronics [17].