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上证指数十年后再破4000点 老股民的赚钱经验失效了?
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao·2025-10-29 06:30

Core Points - The Shanghai Composite Index (SHCI) has surpassed the 4000-point mark for the first time since August 18, 2015, marking the third historical breakthrough of this level [1][2] - This milestone has sparked a debate among investors, particularly between new and old stockholders, regarding market sentiment and investment strategies [2][3] - Historical data indicates that previous surges past 4000 points occurred during bull markets in May 2007 and April 2015, leading to optimistic expectations for the current market [2][4] Market Performance - On October 28, the SHCI reached a peak of 4010.73 points, with trading volume at 2.17 trillion yuan, slightly down from 2.36 trillion yuan the previous day but still above 2 trillion yuan, indicating active market participation [2][5] - Despite the index's rise, many investors feel that making profits in the current A-share market has become more challenging, attributed to sector rotations and varying performance across industries [4][6] Investor Sentiment - There is a noticeable divide in sentiment between seasoned investors, who are cautious due to past market volatility, and newer investors, who are more optimistic about the current market dynamics [3][4] - A significant number of investors have expressed concerns about historical patterns repeating, while others believe in the transformative potential of current market conditions [4][7] Fund Management Trends - The number of new A-share accounts opened in September reached 2.937 million, the second-highest monthly figure of the year, reflecting growing interest despite being lower than the peak in October 2024 [5][6] - Active management equity funds have seen a resurgence in new issuances, with 561 billion yuan raised in Q3 2025, while also experiencing significant redemptions, indicating a shift in investor behavior [5][6] Market Structure and Future Outlook - The current market rally is primarily driven by the technology sector, with high levels of institutional investment in growth-oriented industries [7][8] - Analysts suggest that a stable and healthy slow bull market is necessary to alleviate concerns among older investors and validate the optimistic outlook driven by technological advancements [7][8] - Regulatory measures aimed at enhancing investor protection are expected to bolster confidence in the market, contributing to its maturation and the potential for sustained growth [8]