华创证券：9月毛鸡价格跌后企稳 鸡苗价格高位震荡

Core Insights - The report from Huachuang Securities indicates fluctuations in the prices of broiler chickens and chicks throughout September, with a notable decline in profits for chicken farming operations [1][3]. Group 1: Chick Prices - In early September, the price of white feather chicks increased slightly from 3.27 CNY/chick to 3.31 CNY/chick due to active replenishment in the breeding sector and cross-regional demand [2]. - By mid-September, chick prices decreased to a range of 3.03 CNY/chick to 3.20 CNY/chick, influenced by rising costs in the breeding sector and tight supply plans from breeding stock [2][3]. - In late September, chick prices stabilized after a brief increase, fluctuating between 3.13 CNY/chick and 3.28 CNY/chick [2]. Group 2: Broiler Chicken Prices - The average price of white feather broiler chicken in September was 6.99 CNY/kg, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.22% and a month-on-month decrease of 2% [3]. - The average price of chicken products was 8712.92 CNY/ton, showing a year-on-year increase of 3.77% but a month-on-month decrease of 2.18% [3]. - The report highlights a significant loss in broiler chicken farming, with losses of 1 CNY/chick and 0.41 CNY/chick for hatcheries, indicating a substantial decline in profitability [3]. Group 3: Investment Outlook - The long-term outlook for poultry demand is expected to improve due to anticipated recovery in consumer spending, despite current pressures on chicken product demand and prices [4]. - The supply side remains stable with sufficient upstream breeding stock, but attention is needed on the impact of avian influenza and other diseases on production [4]. - Companies such as Shengnong Development, Yisheng Shares, and Hefeng Shares are recommended for investment focus, as they may benefit from improved profitability and valuation recovery in the poultry sector [4].