深空经济开启万亿级新赛道，火箭发射迎来发展窗口期

Core Insights - The global rocket launch services market is experiencing rapid growth, with revenues projected to reach approximately $18.68 billion in 2024 and $64.25 billion by 2034, reflecting a CAGR of about 13.15% [1] - The demand for rocket launches is primarily driven by satellite launches, particularly low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites, which are expected to grow from $12.64 billion in 2024 to $41.31 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of around 14% [1] - The rise of the deep space economy presents new opportunities for the rocket launch industry, with the commercial space market expected to exceed $700 billion by 2025 [1] Market Dynamics - Satellite launches constitute the main demand for rocket launches, with 224 out of 259 global space launch missions in 2024 being commercial satellite launches, accounting for approximately 86% [2] - The commercial satellite launch segment contributes about 71.75% to the commercial space launch market, highlighting the critical role of satellite launches in driving market growth [2] - The strategic value of low Earth orbit satellite frequency resources is increasing, as competition between the US and China intensifies in space deployment [2] China’s Opportunities - China's commercial space sector is entering a new phase of high-quality development, supported by a series of policies and strategic plans [3] - Local governments, particularly in Beijing, Guangdong, and Shanghai, are implementing action plans to support satellite and rocket development, providing strong growth momentum for the industry [3] - A vibrant ecosystem is emerging in China, covering satellite manufacturing, operation, rocket development, and ground control, facilitating a shift towards large-scale operations and core technology breakthroughs [3] Technological Advancements - Reusable rockets are identified as a key pathway for cost reduction, with rocket engines representing the highest hardware cost component [4] - The recovery and reuse of engines can significantly lower the cost per launch by spreading high manufacturing costs over multiple launches [4] - 3D printing technology is revolutionizing manufacturing in the commercial space sector, with companies like Relativity Space reducing the number of rocket parts and manufacturing time significantly [4]