Oil Rises After Three-Day Drop With Focus on Russia, Stockpiles

Core Insights - Oil prices are experiencing a three-day decline as investors evaluate the effects of Western sanctions on major Russian crude producers and mixed estimates of US inventory changes [1][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Brent crude is trading above $64 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate is near $60 [2]. - The market is assessing the long-term impact of additional sanctions, which will depend on the actual volume of barrels removed from supply [4]. - Oil is on track for a third consecutive monthly decline, influenced by expectations of a global surplus as OPEC+ plans to increase production [5]. Group 2: Geopolitical Factors - The US plans to enforce stringent new sanctions against Russia to pressure President Putin into negotiations regarding the Ukraine conflict [2]. - Indian state-owned refiners are evaluating their ability to continue purchasing discounted Russian oil under the new sanctions, with Indian Oil Corp. stating it will maintain purchases as long as it complies with international sanctions [3]. Group 3: Inventory Reports - A US industry report indicated a 4-million-barrel decrease in nationwide crude holdings, alongside reductions in gasoline and distillates [6]. - However, there was an increase in inventories at the key hub in Cushing, Oklahoma, with official figures expected to be released later [6].