Core Insights - Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) is set to report its Q3 2025 results on October 30, with sales and earnings estimates of $7.46 billion and $2.15 per share respectively [1][7] - Earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 have seen slight declines, with 2025 dropping from $8.09 to $8.07 and 2026 from $8.53 to $8.50 over the past month [1][2] Financial Performance - GILD has a strong earnings surprise history, beating estimates in three of the last four quarters with an average surprise of 11.04% [4][5] - The earnings estimate for Q3 2025 is $2.15 per share, consistent over the past 30 days, while the earnings surprise prediction is currently at -1.34% [8][2] Product Performance - The HIV portfolio, particularly Biktarvy and Descovy, continues to drive top-line growth, with Q3 sales estimates of $3.6 billion for Biktarvy and $629 million for Descovy [9][10] - The recent FDA approval of lenacapavir (Yeztugo) is expected to enhance Gilead's HIV franchise, with projected growth in HIV sales of approximately 3% in 2025 [11][22] Market Dynamics - Gilead's liver disease portfolio, including Livdelzi, is expected to perform well despite some challenges in hepatitis C virus sales [12][14] - Cell Therapy product sales are anticipated to decline due to competitive pressures, with estimates of $476 million for Q3 [15][23] Stock Performance - GILD shares have increased by 27.7% year-to-date, outperforming the industry average of 10.8% [18][19] - The current price/earnings ratio for GILD is 13.98x, higher than its historical mean but lower than the large-cap pharma industry average of 15.57x [21] Strategic Outlook - Gilead's ongoing innovation in the HIV sector and strategic acquisitions are viewed positively, although the Cell Therapy segment faces challenges [22][26] - The company is collaborating with Merck to evaluate a new HIV treatment, with updates expected in 2026 [27]
Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell GILD Stock Ahead of Q3 Earnings?