Analysts Estimate Acadia Pharmaceuticals (ACAD) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Acadia Pharmaceuticals despite higher revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Financial Expectations - Acadia is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.14 per share, reflecting a -30% change year-over-year, while revenues are projected at $273.59 million, an increase of 9.3% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.77% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model shows that Acadia's Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the consensus estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -19.33%, suggesting bearish sentiment among analysts [12]. - Despite the negative Earnings ESP, Acadia holds a Zacks Rank of 2, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Acadia exceeded expectations by delivering earnings of $0.16 per share against an expected $0.14, resulting in a surprise of +14.29% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Acadia has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Industry Context - In the broader Zacks Medical - Biomedical and Genetics industry, Amgen is expected to report earnings of $5 per share, indicating a -10.4% year-over-year change, with revenues projected at $8.94 billion, up 5.2% [18][19]. - Amgen's consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.9% in the last 30 days, leading to an Earnings ESP of -1.25% and a Zacks Rank of 3, making predictions of an earnings beat challenging [19][20].