Core Viewpoint - Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with a consensus outlook indicating a quarterly loss of $0.36 per share, representing a -620% change from the previous year [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to be released on November 5, and the stock may rise if actual results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - Revenues for Frontier Group are projected to be $903.47 million, reflecting a decrease of 3.4% compared to the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 10.1% lower in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Frontier Group aligns with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%, which complicates predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Earnings Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, Frontier Group was expected to post a loss of $0.28 per share but actually reported a loss of $0.31, resulting in a surprise of -10.71% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [14]. Industry Comparison - Allegiant Travel (ALGT), another player in the airline industry, is expected to report a loss of $1.84 per share, indicating a year-over-year change of +8.9%, with revenues projected at $580.41 million, up 3.2% from the previous year [18]. - Allegiant Travel's consensus EPS estimate has been revised 2.2% lower, but a higher Most Accurate Estimate has resulted in an Earnings ESP of +1.11%, suggesting a likely earnings beat [19][20].
Earnings Preview: Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) Q3 Earnings Expected to Decline