近一年新高！人民币汇率升破7.1

Core Insights - The recent strong performance of the Renminbi (RMB) against the US dollar is attributed to a combination of internal and external factors, including a weaker US dollar, improved domestic asset attractiveness, and supportive policy signals from the central bank [2]. Group 1: RMB Exchange Rate Performance - On October 28, both onshore and offshore RMB broke the 7.10 mark against the US dollar, reaching the highest level since November of the previous year [1]. - As of October 29, the offshore RMB was reported at 7.097, down 0.02%, while the onshore RMB was at 7.099, up 0.02% [1]. - Year-to-date, the offshore RMB has appreciated by 3.3%, and the onshore RMB has increased by 2.7%, both exceeding 2000 basis points [1]. Group 2: Factors Driving RMB Strength - The depreciation of the US dollar index by 9% this year has created an environment for non-US currencies, including the RMB, to appreciate [2]. - Key drivers for the RMB's recent strength include: 1. A weaker US dollar providing an external window for appreciation. 2. Increased attractiveness of domestic assets, with strong performance in the A-share market attracting global capital inflows. 3. A resilient export performance contributing to trade surpluses that support the currency [2]. - The People's Bank of China has been signaling a stable to strong RMB through adjustments in the central parity rate, which has influenced market behavior [2]. Group 3: Corporate Responses to Exchange Rate Fluctuations - Companies are actively managing exchange rate risks, as evidenced by Yuxin Co.'s announcement to engage in foreign exchange hedging activities with a limit of up to 3 billion RMB or equivalent foreign currency [2]. Group 4: Future Outlook for RMB Exchange Rate - Analysts suggest that domestic fundamentals will continue to support the RMB, with a high sensitivity to growth-promoting policies [3]. - There is an expectation that pent-up demand for currency conversion may be released as the RMB appreciates, further supporting its value [3]. - The central bank is well-equipped with policy tools to manage exchange rate expectations flexibly [3].