CRCL vs. WULF: Which Crypto-Infrastructure Stock Has an Edge Now?

Core Insights - Circle Internet (CRCL) and TeraWulf (WULF) are gaining traction in the cryptocurrency sector, with Circle focusing on USDC stablecoin and payment infrastructure, while TeraWulf operates digital infrastructure for bitcoin mining and high-performance computing (HPC) [1][2] Circle Internet (CRCL) - Circle is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for USDC stablecoin, with $76.4 billion USDCs in circulation as of October 23, up from $61.3 billion at the end of Q2 2025 [3] - USDC onchain transaction volume reached $33.97 trillion, with a year-over-year growth of 5.4 times to nearly $6 trillion in Q2 2025, indicating rising adoption [4] - The launch of the Circle Payments Network aims to facilitate stablecoin payments for over 100 institutions, with active corridors in Hong Kong, Brazil, Nigeria, and Mexico [5] - Circle has established partnerships with major firms like Kraken, Binance, and Fireblocks to enhance its stablecoin network and payment infrastructure [6] - Circle's loss estimate for 2025 has narrowed to $1.94 per share, an improvement from $2.13 over the past 30 days [13] TeraWulf (WULF) - TeraWulf is set to deliver 72.5 MW of HPC colocation capacity, with revenue generation expected to start in Q3 2025 [7] - A deal with Fluidstack will provide over 360 MW of critical IT load at the Lake Mariner data center, with total contract revenues projected to reach $16 billion [8] - TeraWulf has secured a long-term lease for 183 acres in Lansing, NY, allowing for the development of up to 400 MW of digital infrastructure capacity [10] - The company faces challenges from bitcoin price volatility and increased selling, general, and administrative expenses, which are now expected to be between $50 million and $55 million for 2025 [11] - TeraWulf's loss estimate for 2025 is projected at 36 cents per share, widening by 3 cents over the past month [12] Stock Performance and Valuation - In the past month, TeraWulf shares have increased by 39.6%, outperforming Circle's 2.6% rise [14] - Both companies are considered overvalued, indicated by a Value Score of F [16] Conclusion - The regulatory environment and demand for stablecoins like USDC are favorable for Circle's long-term prospects, while TeraWulf's performance is hindered by bitcoin volatility and rising expenses [17]