Applied Digital vs. IREN: Which AI Data Center Stock Has an Edge?

Core Insights - Applied Digital (APLD) and IREN Limited (IREN) are focusing on next-generation data center infrastructure for high-performance computing (HPC) and artificial intelligence (AI) workloads, addressing the growing demand for scalable computing solutions [1][2] - The global AI market is projected to reach $500 billion by 2027, driven by increased adoption across various sectors such as healthcare, finance, transportation, and manufacturing, which is favorable for both companies [1] Applied Digital (APLD) Highlights - APLD's HPC Hosting business is designed to support high-power density applications, with the Polaris Forge 1 facility set to scale up to 1 gigawatt (GW), with the first 100-MW facility operational by Q4 2025 [3] - APLD has secured a 15-year lease agreement with CoreWeave for 400 MW of critical IT load at Polaris Forge 1, with anticipated lease revenues of approximately $11 billion, indicating a strategic shift from cryptocurrency mining to AI-focused infrastructure [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for APLD's fiscal 2026 revenues is $280.9 million, reflecting a growth of 30.4% from fiscal 2025 [5] - APLD's fiscal 2026 loss is estimated at 31 cents per share, an improvement from the previous estimate of 34 cents [11] IREN Limited Highlights - IREN is on track to achieve $1.25 billion in annualized revenues, with $200-$250 million expected from AI Cloud by December 2025, and plans to scale GPU installations significantly [6][7] - IREN has installed over 60,000 NVIDIA Blackwell GPUs and is transitioning from bitcoin mining to AI, with a new liquid-cooled data center planned [7] - IREN anticipates $500 million in AI Cloud annualized run-rate revenue by Q1 fiscal 2026 [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for IREN's fiscal 2026 earnings is 70 cents per share, down 39.1% over the past 60 days [10] Stock Performance and Valuation - APLD shares have surged 49.7% in the past month, outperforming IREN's 33% gain, indicating stronger investor momentum for APLD [8][11] - Both APLD and IREN are considered overvalued, as indicated by a Value Score of F [14] Conclusion - APLD is expected to benefit from the CoreWeave partnership and the increasing demand for AI infrastructure, while IREN's growth is tempered by bitcoin price volatility and modest revenue growth prospects [15]