【环时深度】APEC为何首次将“应对人口结构变化”设为全面议题？

Core Viewpoint - The APEC meeting in South Korea will address the significant demographic changes in the Asia-Pacific region, with a focus on transforming demographic challenges into economic opportunities through regional cooperation [1][2]. Demographic Changes - The proportion of individuals aged 60 and above in the Asia-Pacific region is projected to rise from 15.1% in 2024 to approximately 25% by 2050, indicating a significant demographic shift [3]. - South Korea is expected to enter a "super-aged society" by 2024, with over 20.2% of its population aged 65 and older, while its total fertility rate is projected to drop to between 0.72 and 0.75, marking a historical low [2][3]. Economic Implications - The demographic transition presents both challenges and opportunities for economic restructuring, necessitating reforms to foster new growth drivers and sustainable prosperity [3][4]. - Industries such as traditional manufacturing may face pressure to relocate to regions with younger populations, while sectors related to healthcare, elder care, and technology are anticipated to experience significant growth [4][10]. Policy Responses - Various countries are implementing policies to address declining birth rates, with South Korea reporting a 7.4% increase in births in the first half of the year, attributed to government support measures [6]. - Spain has also seen a positive trend in birth rates due to family support policies, including extended parental leave and enhanced childcare services [7]. Regional Cooperation - The integration of artificial intelligence and demographic change discussions at the APEC meeting highlights the need for collaborative solutions to labor shortages and the creation of new economic opportunities [9]. - The diversity in demographic challenges across Asia-Pacific countries can be leveraged for mutual benefits through labor mobility, capital collaboration, and technology exchange [10].