12月降息概率骤变，美联储大消息，黄金异动

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the federal funds rate to 3.75% - 4.00%, marking the second rate cut of the year [5] - There is increasing internal division within the Federal Reserve regarding future rate cuts, with some members advocating for a pause and others pushing for a 50 basis point cut [5][6] - The probability of a 25 basis point cut in December is now at 67.8%, down from a previous 95.3% for a 50 basis point cut before Powell's statements [6][7] Group 2 - The U.S. stock market showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones down 0.16% at 47,632 points, the S&P 500 unchanged at 6,890.59 points, and the Nasdaq up 0.55% at 23,958.47 points, achieving a new high for the fourth consecutive day [1] - In the Chinese concept stock market, the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell by 0.03%, while the Wind China Concept Technology Leaders Index rose by 0.65% [3] - Individual stocks such as Canadian Solar, EHang, and CenturyLink saw significant gains, with increases of nearly 16%, 9%, and 8% respectively [3]