美政府关门影响几何?CBO:已致180亿美元经济损失,近一半无法恢复
Feng Huang Wang·2025-10-30 00:44

Core Points - The U.S. Congressional Budget Office (CBO) warns that the government shutdown has caused at least $18 billion in economic losses, with potential for further increases in the coming weeks [1] - The CBO estimates that 70 to 140 million dollars of the GDP impact will be permanent, depending on the duration of the shutdown [2] Economic Impact - The CBO reports that the GDP for the fourth quarter has already decreased by at least 1% due to the shutdown [2] - If the shutdown lasts six weeks, the GDP growth could be reduced by 1.5%, equating to a loss of $28 billion [2] - An eight-week shutdown could lead to a 2% decrease in actual GDP, resulting in a loss of $39 billion [2] Employment Effects - Approximately 650,000 federal employees have been furloughed due to the shutdown, which could increase the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points in October, marking the largest monthly increase since the pandemic began [3]