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国债期货:国债买卖重启预期支撑 中短端利率明显下行
Jin Tou Wang·2025-10-30 02:13

Market Performance - The majority of government bond futures closed higher, with the 30-year main contract down 0.27%, while the 10-year, 5-year, and 2-year main contracts rose by 0.13%, 0.16%, and 0.10% respectively [1] - The yields on major interbank bonds mostly declined, with mid-to-short term bonds performing well. The yield on the 10-year policy bank bond "25国开15" increased by 1.05 basis points to 1.8910%, while the 10-year government bond "25附息国债16" saw a slight rise of 0.10 basis points to 1.8140% [1] Funding Conditions - The central bank announced a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 557.7 billion yuan at a fixed rate of 1.40% on October 29, with a net injection of 419.5 billion yuan for the day [2] - The interbank market liquidity has turned loose, with the weighted average rate for repos falling, particularly the overnight repo rate dropping over 6 basis points to 1.40% [2] Operational Suggestions - The bond market is experiencing a divergence in trends, with short-term bonds supported by expectations of renewed central bank bond purchases, while long-term bonds are pressured by U.S.-China trade relations and rising risk appetite [3] - There is potential for short-term fluctuations in the bond market, but a recovery in market sentiment may present trading opportunities if there are event shocks leading to market adjustments [3]