Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's decision to cut rates is viewed as a mistake, with inflation remaining significantly above the target, necessitating higher rates instead [2][3][5]. Group 1: Federal Reserve's Actions - The Fed is perceived to have stopped hiking rates prematurely, which is considered a misstep [2][3]. - The current inflation rate is at least 50% above the Fed's target, indicating a need for higher interest rates [2]. - The Fed's balance sheet remains at $6.7 trillion, which is significantly larger than the $4 trillion at the end of QE3, suggesting ongoing debt monetization [4]. Group 2: Market Reactions - The market reacted negatively to the Fed's rate cut, with a notable flattening of the yield curve, particularly in the two-year and ten-year bonds [7][9]. - Long-term interest rates are expected to rise following the rate cut, as the bond market does not believe inflation will return to the 2% target [14][15]. - The price of gold is projected to increase significantly due to the anticipated decline in the dollar's value and the Fed's easing stance on inflation [13][16]. Group 3: Future Expectations - There is speculation that the December rate cut may be the last for a while, as dissenting opinions within the Fed indicate a shift in future policy [8][12]. - The end of quantitative tightening (QT) is seen as a precursor to a potential return to quantitative easing (QE) [16].
Inflation is 'too high' and 'headed up' which calls for higher rates: Peter Schiff
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