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汇成真空(301392)公司点评:合同负债增加 静待下游爆发

Core Insights - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and profit for Q3 2025, with total revenue of 304 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 29.54%, and a net profit of 18 million yuan, down 72.62% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - For the first nine months of 2025, the company achieved total operating revenue of 304 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 29.54% - Total profit reached 18 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 74.72% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was also 18 million yuan, down 72.62% year-on-year - The gross profit margin was 25.52%, a decrease of 6.54 percentage points year-on-year [1] Operational Analysis - The company's performance is under short-term pressure due to increased contract liabilities and customer order delays, with inventory rising to 406 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.95%, and contract liabilities reaching 229 million yuan, up 95.91% year-on-year - The company maintains a strong customer base, being a leading PVD coating equipment provider, and has entered the supply chains of renowned companies like Apple, Foxconn, BYD, and Longyan Energy - The diverse customer and industry layout, combined with a dual profit model of "equipment sales + technical services," enhances the company's risk resilience [2] Research and Development - The company actively invests in R&D, with R&D expenses amounting to 27 million yuan, representing 8.94% of total revenue, an increase of 2.62 percentage points year-on-year - Several R&D projects have been completed, including the development of PVD equipment for the semiconductor industry and various optical coating equipment [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 675 million yuan, 876 million yuan, and 1.088 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 29.77%, 29.73%, and 24.18% respectively - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 95 million yuan, 132 million yuan, and 182 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 39.16%, 39.79%, and 37.54% - Corresponding EPS estimates are 0.9, 1.3, and 1.8 yuan, with P/E ratios of 152, 108, and 79 times, maintaining a "buy" rating [4]