Core Viewpoint - CITIC Securities projects Luoyang Molybdenum's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 19.989 billion, 24.800 billion, and 27.928 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 16.28, 13.12, and 11.65 times, and recommends a "buy" rating based on the company's industry position, growth potential, and low-cost advantages [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 145.485 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 14.280 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 72.61%, setting a new historical high for the same period [2] - In Q3 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.608 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 96.40% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 18.69% [2] Group 2: Production and Projects - The company reported a significant increase in copper production, with a total output of 543,400 tons in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year growth of 14.14%, achieving a historical high for the same period [3] - The company plans to invest no more than 1.084 billion USD in the KFM Phase II project, expected to commence production in 2027, adding an average of 100,000 tons of copper metal annually upon reaching full capacity [3] Group 3: Pricing Trends - In Q3 2025, the average spot price of LME copper increased by 2.9% from Q2 to 9,797 USD per ton, with other key minerals also experiencing price increases [4] Group 4: Cost Management - The company achieved a 10.94% year-on-year decrease in operating costs in the first three quarters of 2025, while simultaneously increasing production and sales [5] Group 5: Market Outlook - Luoyang Molybdenum received the largest export quota from the Democratic Republic of Congo, with a remaining export limit of 6,500 tons for the rest of 2025, accounting for 35.9% of the total quota [6] - The tightening supply in the cobalt market is expected to push prices higher, with a projected export volume of only 96,600 tons over the next two years, leading to a shift from surplus to a shortage in the market [6]
中信建投:予洛阳钼业(03993)“买入”评级 KFM二期稳步推进 业绩续创新高