正泰电器(601877)：3Q25业绩符合预期 AIDC业务稳步推进

Core Viewpoint - The company's Q3 2025 performance met expectations, with a slight decline in revenue but an increase in net profit year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, revenue was 46.396 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.03%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.179 billion yuan, an increase of 19.49% [1] - In Q3 2025, revenue was 16.777 billion yuan, down 3.70% year-on-year but up 11.40% quarter-on-quarter; net profit was 1.625 billion yuan, up 3.12% year-on-year and 16.79% quarter-on-quarter [1] - Non-recurring profit and loss included 340 million yuan in government subsidies for Q3 2025 [1] - Segment performance showed low-voltage electrical revenue at 6.1 billion yuan, up 6% year-on-year, and net profit at 631 million yuan, up 7.1% [1] - New energy revenue was 10.79 billion yuan, down 8.5% year-on-year, with net profit slightly increasing [1] - The household business (Aneng) generated revenue of 9.2 billion yuan, up 2.4% year-on-year, and net profit of 1.32 billion yuan, up 14.1% [1] Development Trends - Low-voltage overseas revenue grew significantly, with Q3 revenue at 1.429 billion yuan, up 42.1% year-on-year, and North America seeing over 100% growth [2] - The AIDC business is progressing as planned, with customer engagements in multiple regions including the US and Southeast Asia [2] - The company added 1.84 GW of household installations in Q3, with sales of 2.18 GW, a 40% increase quarter-on-quarter [2] - The company plans to explore new business models in the fourth quarter, focusing on overseas household and user-side energy storage [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has revised its 2025 other income forecast upward and slightly lowered the net profit forecast for 2025/2026 by 3.7% and -0.5% to 4.885 billion and 5.409 billion yuan respectively [3] - The target price has been raised by 11.8% to 38 yuan, corresponding to P/E ratios of 16.7 and 15.1 for 2025/2026, indicating a potential upside of 24.7% from the current stock price [3] - The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 13.4 and 12.1 for 2025/2026 [3]