Workflow
中信建投:予洛阳钼业“买入”评级KFM二期稳步推进业绩续创新高
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-10-30 09:08

Core Insights - The report from CITIC Construction Investment forecasts Luoyang Molybdenum's net profit for 2025-2027 to be CNY 19.989 billion, CNY 24.800 billion, and CNY 27.928 billion respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 16.28, 13.12, and 11.65 based on current stock prices [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of CNY 145.485 billion and a net profit attributable to shareholders of CNY 14.280 billion, marking a year-on-year increase of 72.61%, setting a new historical high for the same period and surpassing the total for the previous year [1] - In Q3 2025, the company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of CNY 5.608 billion [1] Group 2: Production and Projects - The company reported significant increases in production for copper, cobalt, molybdenum, tungsten, niobium, and phosphate fertilizer in the first three quarters of 2025, with copper production reaching 543,400 tons, a year-on-year increase of 14.14%, setting a new historical high for the same period [1] - The company plans to invest up to USD 1.084 billion in the construction of the KFM Phase II project, which is progressing steadily [1] Group 3: Market Conditions - In Q3 2025, the average LME copper spot price increased by 2.9% from Q2 to USD 9,797 per ton, while prices for cobalt, molybdenum, iron, APT, niobium, and monoammonium phosphate saw increases of 11.4%, 18.0%, 38.9%, 3.4%, and 0.6% respectively [1] - The company has received the largest export quota from the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, allowing for an export volume of 6,500 tons for the remainder of 2025, which accounts for 35.9% of the total quota [2] - The tightening supply in the cobalt market is expected to maintain high price levels, with future export volumes limited to 96,600 tons over the next two years, a reduction of approximately 100,000 tons [2]