Core Viewpoint - McDonald's is approaching membership in the elite group of Dividend Kings, having announced a 5% dividend increase, just one year away from achieving 50 consecutive years of annual dividend raises [2]. Business Model - McDonald's operates a franchise-heavy model, with approximately 95% of its 44,000 locations being franchised, which provides predictable cash flows and high margins [4][5]. - The franchise model allows McDonald's to act as a real estate developer and landlord, minimizing financial risks associated with sales fluctuations and cost increases [4][5]. Financial Performance - In 2024, McDonald's generated $15.72 billion in revenue from franchised restaurants and $9.78 billion from company-owned restaurants, with the latter incurring $8.33 billion in expenses, indicating lower margins from corporate-owned stores [6]. - The operating income for McDonald's in 2024 was $11.71 billion on $25.92 billion in revenue, resulting in an overall operating margin of 45.2%. Excluding company-owned restaurants, the operating margin would be 63.6% [7]. - McDonald's franchise business has a higher operating margin compared to Nvidia, which has a trailing 12-month operating margin of 58.1% [8]. Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - McDonald's generates more free cash flow per share than needed for dividend payments, allowing for consistent stock buybacks, which reduces share count and accelerates earnings per share growth [11]. - The company prioritizes returning free cash flow to shareholders through dividends and buybacks rather than investing heavily in research and development [9]. Investment Consideration - McDonald's is considered a strong choice for long-term investors seeking a reliable blue-chip dividend stock, despite a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.2 and a dividend yield of 2.4% [12].
Prediction: This Blue Chip Dow Jones Stock Will Become a Dividend King in 2026