华大智造(688114):业绩持续复苏 关注国内替代+产品技术全面出海

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.869 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, showing a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.01%, while the net loss attributable to shareholders was 120 million yuan, a reduction in loss of 74.2% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 755 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.45%, with a net loss attributable to shareholders of 16 million yuan, a significant reduction in loss of 90.31% year-on-year [1] Revenue Structure and Cost Management - The company is optimizing its revenue structure and continuously promoting cost reduction and efficiency improvement, leading to gradual recovery in profits [2] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the revenue from the full-length sequencing business included 460 million yuan from instrument sales and 940 million yuan from reagent consumables, with the proportion of recurring revenue from reagents and services rising to nearly 70% [2] - The sales, management, and R&D expense ratios for Q3 2025 were 23.2%, 11.2%, and 14.8%, respectively, showing year-on-year decreases of 10.8, 12.2, and 12.7 percentage points, which contributed to the narrowing of losses [2] Market Share and Global Expansion - The company has significantly increased its market share domestically while continuing to expand in overseas markets, with a notable focus on technology export to support global layout [3] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the revenue from the sequencing business in China was 1 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5%, but the company secured over 70% of the bids for high-throughput sequencers, indicating a strong domestic market position [3] - The company reported revenues of 260 million yuan in the Europe and Africa region and 140 million yuan in the Americas, both showing a year-on-year increase of 14%, while the Asia-Pacific region saw a revenue of 110 million yuan, down 32% due to regional disruptions [3] - A recent licensing agreement with Swiss Rockets for sequencing technology is expected to generate an initial payment of 20 million USD and potential total revenues of at least 120 million USD, marking a new model for technology export [3] Profit Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 3.585 billion, 4.184 billion, and 4.936 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 19.01%, 16.69%, and 17.98% respectively [4] - The projected net profits attributable to shareholders for the same period are 29 million, 104 million, and 219 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 104.79%, 262.33%, and 110.26% respectively [4]