Earnings Preview: TC Energy (TRP) Q3 Earnings Expected to Decline

Core Viewpoint - TC Energy (TRP) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with the actual results having a significant impact on its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for November 6, and if the results exceed expectations, the stock may rise; conversely, a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus estimate for TC Energy's quarterly earnings is $0.56 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 26.3%, while revenues are projected at $2.64 billion, down 11.8% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 2.93%, indicating a reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for TC Energy is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.07%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the deviation of actual earnings from consensus estimates, with a positive reading being a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a favorable Zacks Rank [9][10]. - TC Energy currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), making it challenging to predict an earnings beat conclusively [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, TC Energy was expected to post earnings of $0.56 per share but actually delivered $0.59, resulting in a surprise of +5.36% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Industry Comparison - Excelerate Energy (EE), another player in the Zacks Alternative Energy - Other industry, is expected to report earnings of $0.30 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year change of -14.3%, with revenues projected at $306.62 million, up 58.5% from the previous year [18][19].