Angel Oak(US:AOMR) ZACKS·2025-10-30 15:07Core Viewpoint - Angel Oak Mortgage (AOMR) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for November 6, and if the reported figures exceed expectations, the stock may experience an upward movement; conversely, a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings is projected at $0.28 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 300%, while revenues are expected to reach $37.25 million, marking a 35.8% increase from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 2.84%, indicating a reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings outlook [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Angel Oak is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +7.14%, suggesting a bullish sentiment among analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) [10]. - Angel Oak currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, which, in conjunction with the positive Earnings ESP, suggests a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Angel Oak was expected to post earnings of $0.27 per share but only achieved $0.11, resulting in a surprise of -59.26% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Conclusion - While the potential for an earnings beat exists, other factors may also influence stock performance, making it essential for investors to consider the broader context beyond just earnings results [15][17].