Analysts Estimate Kimbell Royalty (KRP) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for

Core Viewpoint - Kimbell Royalty (KRP) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues in its upcoming earnings report for the quarter ended September 2025, with the consensus outlook indicating potential impacts on its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for Kimbell Royalty's quarterly earnings is $0.13 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 40.9%. Revenues are projected to be $79.57 million, down 5% from the same quarter last year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 25% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) model suggests that the Most Accurate Estimate matches the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%, which complicates predictions of an earnings beat [8][12]. - A positive Earnings ESP is generally a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3, with historical data showing a nearly 70% success rate for this combination [10]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Kimbell Royalty was expected to post earnings of $0.14 per share but only achieved $0.02, resulting in a surprise of -85.71%. Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [13][14]. Investment Considerations - Kimbell Royalty does not currently appear to be a compelling candidate for an earnings beat, and investors are advised to consider other factors when making investment decisions ahead of the earnings release [17].