Magnolia Oil & Gas Q3 Earnings Match Estimates, Revenues Beat

Core Insights - Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) reported a third-quarter 2025 net profit of 41 cents per share, matching the Zacks Consensus Estimate, attributed to increased production volumes despite a decrease from 52 cents in the previous year due to a 9.5% rise in operating expenses [1][9] - Total revenues reached $324.9 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $322 million, driven by higher revenues from natural gas and natural gas liquids, although down 2.5% from $333.1 million in the prior-year period due to lower oil revenues [2][9] Revenue Breakdown - Oil revenues were $230.5 million, a 13.2% decrease from $265.7 million in the year-ago quarter, but exceeded the estimate of $224.6 million [3] - Natural gas revenues nearly doubled to $43.2 million from $22.2 million year-over-year, beating the estimate of $41.7 million [3] - Natural gas liquids revenues increased to $51.2 million from $45.2 million in the previous year, surpassing the estimate of $50.5 million [3] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - The company generated $247.1 million in net cash from operating activities and achieved a free cash flow of $133.9 million [4] - Magnolia declared a cash dividend of 15 cents per share and returned a total of $80.3 million to shareholders, representing 60% of its free cash flow for the quarter through dividends and share repurchases [5][9] Production and Prices - Average daily total output was 100,507 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d), a 10.8% increase from 90,702 boe/d in the year-ago quarter, exceeding the estimate of 90,000 boe/d [6] - Oil volumes were 39,430 barrels per day (bpd), slightly up 1.4% from the previous year but below the estimate of 40,500 bpd [6] - Natural gas volumes reached 190,384 thousand cubic feet per day (Mcf/d), up 19.6% year-over-year, surpassing the expectation of 183,900 Mcf/d [7] - Average realized crude oil price was $63.55 per barrel, a 14.4% decrease from $74.23 a year ago, but above the estimate of $60.23 [8] Balance Sheet and Capital Expenditure - As of September 30, 2025, Magnolia had cash and cash equivalents of $280.5 million and long-term debt of $393.1 million, with a debt-to-capitalization ratio of 16.1% [11] - The company spent $118.4 million on its capital program during the quarter, with operating expenses rising to $223.5 million from $204.1 million in the previous year [11] Future Guidance - For Q4 2025, Magnolia expects drilling and completion capital spending of approximately $110 million, with full-year capital expenditures projected near the midpoint of $430-$470 million [12] - The company anticipates a production growth outlook of approximately 10% for the full year, up from the initial guidance of 5-7% [12] - Operating costs per boe are expected to ease modestly in Q4, with estimates around $5.20, and full-year 2025 Lease Operating Expense expected to be at least 5% lower than 2024 levels [13]