美联储突发，下一任主席人选即将确定？

Core Viewpoint - The next Federal Reserve Chair candidate is expected to be determined before Christmas, with a shortlist of five candidates being finalized [1][3][5]. Candidate Selection - The candidate list has been narrowed down to five individuals: former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh, NEC Director Kevin Hassett, current Fed Governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman, and BlackRock executive Rick Rieder [1][5]. - The final decision on the new chair will be made by President Trump, who has been under pressure to influence the Fed's direction [6]. Economic Outlook - The U.S. Treasury Secretary expressed optimism about the U.S. economy, predicting a synchronized prosperity in both the real economy and financial markets next year [3]. - There is an expectation of strong job growth and significant tax refunds in Q1 2026, which could boost consumer spending [3]. Fed's Recent Actions - The Fed recently cut interest rates by 25 basis points, marking the fifth cut since September 2024, but the decision was not unanimously supported [6][7]. - The Fed's recent statements have raised concerns about its adherence to outdated thinking and inaccurate inflation predictions [3][7]. Future Monetary Policy - There is uncertainty regarding the Fed's policy direction for December, with differing opinions among committee members about further rate cuts [7][8]. - Some analysts predict that the Fed may maintain rates in December, contrary to earlier expectations of another cut [8].