市场规模庞大，多元催化下发展可期

Core Insights - The engineering machinery industry in China is projected to reach a market size of $23.4 billion in 2024, accounting for approximately 11.0% of the global market, and is expected to grow to $57 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of about 16% [1][2] - Major products such as excavators, cranes, and loaders dominate the market, with excavator sales expected to reach 174,039 units from January to September 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 18.1% [1][2] Industry Overview - The engineering machinery sector is a crucial pillar of national economic development, with applications spanning urban and rural roads, urban infrastructure, national defense, and water conservancy [2] - The industry is characterized by a high market concentration and a tiered competitive landscape, with Chinese companies transitioning from followers to leaders in the global market [2] Development Trends - Recent government policies have significantly supported the engineering machinery industry, focusing on manufacturing upgrades, green development, and smart manufacturing [3] - The industry is experiencing a wave of technological innovation centered on "intelligent, high-end, and green" advancements, with leading firms driving industry upgrades through breakthrough product development [3] - Chinese companies are actively expanding into overseas markets, employing strategies that combine deep localization with global networking [3] Catalysts for Growth - The number and scale of major engineering projects across the country remain high, leading to increased demand for engineering machinery [4] - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project, with a total investment of 1.2 trillion yuan, is expected to drive machinery procurement in the range of 120 billion to 180 billion yuan [4] Investment Recommendations - Companies to watch include SANY Heavy Industry, a global leader in digital transformation; XCMG, a full-industry chain leader with strong technological innovation; and LiuGong, known for its comprehensive product line and strong overseas market performance [5]