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国元证券:多元催化下工程机械发展可期 大型工程项目推动构成新增长引擎
智通财经网·2025-10-31 02:19

Core Viewpoint - The investment in major engineering projects across the country remains high in 2025, leading to an expected increase in demand for construction machinery. The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project, with a total investment of 1.2 trillion yuan, is projected to drive machinery procurement between 120 billion to 180 billion yuan [1]. Industry Overview - The construction machinery sector is a crucial pillar of national economic development, with a wide range of applications including urban and rural roads, urban infrastructure, national defense, and water conservancy. The industry is capital, labor, and technology-intensive. According to data from the China Business Industry Research Institute, the market size of China's construction machinery is expected to reach 23.4 billion USD in 2024, accounting for approximately 11.0% of the global market, and is projected to grow to 57 billion USD by 2030, with a CAGR of about 16%. Excavators, cranes, and loaders dominate the market, with excavator sales in the first nine months of 2025 reaching 174,039 units, a year-on-year increase of 18.1%. The industry exhibits a high market concentration with a tiered competitive landscape, and Chinese companies are transitioning from followers to leaders in the global market [1][2]. Development Trends - Recent years have seen the introduction of significant policies that support and guide the construction machinery industry, focusing on the goals of becoming a manufacturing powerhouse. Key policy directions include equipment upgrades in the industrial sector, green development in manufacturing, enhancing the effectiveness of quality infrastructure, and deepening the application of intelligent manufacturing. The 15th Five-Year Plan emphasizes optimizing the position and competitiveness of the machinery industry in global industrial division. The industry is experiencing a wave of technological innovation centered on "intelligent, high-end, and green" advancements, with leading manufacturers driving industry upgrades through breakthrough product development. Additionally, the industry is diversifying its market layout and actively expanding overseas, achieving notable success through a strategy that combines "deep localization" with "global networking" [2].