Equity mutual funds offer up to 9% returns in October. Is the rally here to stay?

Market Performance - In October, Nifty50 and BSE Sensex increased by 4.90% and 4.95% respectively, indicating a strong market performance [1] - A total of 578 equity mutual funds were analyzed, with 568 funds providing positive returns and only 10 funds showing negative returns [1][12] Top Performing Funds - The top-performing fund, Motilal Oswal Nasdaq 100 FOF, achieved a return of 9.02% in October, followed by WOC Digital Bharat Fund and HDFC Technology Fund with returns of 7.58% and 7.05% respectively [1][19] - Other notable technology sector funds included Kotak Technology Fund, ICICI Pru Technology Fund, and Edelweiss Technology Fund, which delivered returns of 6.54%, 6.52%, and 6.42% respectively [5][19] Sector Analysis - The technology sector was a significant contributor to the positive performance of equity mutual funds, with multiple funds in this category ranking among the top performers [1][19] - Funds from Mirae Asset Mutual Fund, such as Mirae Asset Global Electric & Autonomous Vehicles Equity Passive FOF and Mirae Asset Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF FOF, also performed well with returns of 6.71% and 6.68% respectively [19] Negative Performers - The worst-performing fund was ICICI Pru Strategic Metal and Energy Equity FoF, which lost approximately 5.07% in October [10][19] - Other negative performers included PGIM India Global Select Real Estate Securities FoF with a loss of 1.73% and two funds from ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund, which lost 0.53% and 0.34% respectively [10][19] Earnings Growth Expectations - For FY26, Nifty 50 is expected to post an earnings growth of 8%, with mid and small caps projected to grow by 16% and 10% respectively [16] - The ongoing earnings season indicates steady growth, with large-cap companies expected to achieve 6-7% earnings growth, while mid- and small-cap segments are projected to deliver 14-16% year-on-year earnings growth [15][16] Investment Strategy Recommendations - Experts recommend maintaining a diversified portfolio across various categories, including a market cap mix of 55:23:22 for large, mid, and small caps to ensure stability and liquidity [17] - The supportive macroeconomic factors, such as GDP growth of 7.8% in Q1 FY26 and revised inflation of 2.6% for FY26, are expected to enhance corporate profitability and market sentiment [16]