民生健康(301507):25Q3业绩亮眼 关注后续新品放量

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 623 million yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.78%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 114 million yuan, up 32.77% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 160 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.84%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 32 million yuan, which is a significant increase of 259.31% year-on-year [1] - The growth in revenue is attributed to steady growth in mineral products and the consolidation of the probiotic business following the acquisition of Zhongke Jiayi [1] Financial Performance - The company's gross margin and net margin for Q3 2025 were 45.55% and 20.28%, respectively, with a year-on-year decrease of 2.30% in gross margin but an increase of 13.00 percentage points in net margin [2] - The company improved its expense efficiency, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios at 27.41%, 10.93%, 3.75%, and -1.39%, respectively, showing a notable improvement in sales expense ratio [2] - Fair value gains from the company's holdings in Jiyuan Group significantly contributed to profit growth, with fair value changes amounting to 27 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 795% [2] Business Outlook - The company expects continued growth in its mineral business and strong competitiveness in the probiotic sector, with new products like "Lesuke" and others anticipated to accelerate revenue growth [2] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 792 million, 964 million, and 1.16 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 24%, 22%, and 20%, respectively [2] - Net profit projections for the same period are 130 million, 144 million, and 165 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 41%, 11%, and 15%, respectively [2]