国家气候中心：预测今冬“拉尼娜”持续时间较短

Core Viewpoint - The China Meteorological Administration predicts the development of a "La Niña" phenomenon starting in late autumn 2023, expected to last until early 2026, with a lower probability of significant impacts on climate conditions in China [1] Summary by Relevant Sections - La Niña Development - The "La Niña" state is anticipated to begin in late autumn 2023 and continue until early 2026 [1] - The duration of this "La Niña" event is expected to be relatively short, leading to a lower probability of a significant "La Niña event" [1] - Impact on Climate - Under the "La Niña" conditions, the average national temperature during winter is expected to be close to or above the historical average [1] - Overall precipitation is predicted to be lower, with a distribution pattern showing more precipitation in the north and less in the south [1] - The risk of widespread low-temperature rain, snow, and ice in southern regions is considered low [1] - Significant temperature fluctuations are expected this winter, with notable differences in cold and warm periods [1] - Regions such as southeastern China, central eastern China, and southeastern southern China are forecasted to experience reduced precipitation [1]