香港三季度GDP升幅扩大至3.8%

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong economy is expected to continue its robust growth for the remainder of 2025, driven by strong export performance and expanding domestic demand [1][5]. Economic Growth - In Q3 2025, Hong Kong's real GDP grew by 3.8% year-on-year, an increase from 3.1% in Q2 [1]. - Seasonally adjusted, the real GDP rose by 0.7% compared to the previous quarter [1]. Consumption and Investment - Private consumption expenditure increased by 2.1% year-on-year in Q3, up from 1.9% in Q2 [1]. - Government consumption expenditure recorded a real increase of 1.6% year-on-year in Q3, down from 2.5% in Q2 [1]. - Local fixed capital formation rose by 4.3% year-on-year in Q3, following a 1.9% increase in Q2 [1]. Trade Performance - Goods exports saw a real increase of 12.2% year-on-year in Q3, compared to 11.5% in Q2 [1]. - Goods imports rose by 11.7% in Q3, down from 12.6% in Q2 [1]. Service Sector - Service output increased by 6.1% year-on-year in Q3, following an 8.6% rise in Q2 [2]. - Service input grew by 2.6% in Q3, compared to 7.3% in Q2 [2]. - The tourism sector and active cross-border financial activities supported the expansion of service output [3]. Future Outlook - The government anticipates further economic growth due to moderate global economic growth and strong demand for electronic products, which will support goods exports [5]. - An increase in visitor arrivals and active financial market activities are expected to boost service exports [5]. - Local consumption and investment activities are likely to be supported by the recovery of consumer confidence and recent interest rate cuts by the U.S. [5]. - Retail sales value for the first nine months of the year showed a temporary decline of 1.0% year-on-year, but September recorded a 5.9% increase, marking the fifth consecutive month of growth [5].