Time for Japan ETFs?

Core Insights - Japan's Nikkei index has reached an all-time high, crossing the 51,000-mark on October 30, 2025, with a 14% increase in the past month [1] - The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has maintained its policy rate at 0.5% and is not in a hurry to tighten monetary policy despite inflation expectations [2][3] - Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi supports "Abenomics" and aims to enhance investment in strategic sectors, which may lead to a weaker yen [4][5] Monetary Policy - The BoJ is expected to keep its monetary policy loose, with inflation projected at 2.7% for fiscal 2025, 1.8% for fiscal 2026, and 2.0% for fiscal 2027 [2] - Two board members advocated for a 25 basis points rate hike, but the majority preferred to wait for further assessment [2] Economic Environment - Japan's exports have faced a weakening environment, having dropped for four consecutive months before a slight increase in September [3] - A weaker yen could enhance the profitability of export-oriented sectors, benefiting from repatriated income [5] Investment Opportunities - The rally in Japanese equities is expected to increase demand for Japan-focused large-cap ETFs, such as WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund (DXJ) and iShares Currency Hedged MSCI Japan ETF (HEWJ) [6][7] - ProShares UltraShort Yen (YCS) is anticipated to benefit from a declining yen, with the Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY) losing 3.2% over the past month [5][8]