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比亚迪(002594):三季度利润韧性显现 环比展望向上可期
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-10-31 12:41

Core Viewpoint - The company reported its Q3 2025 performance, showing a revenue increase of 12.75% year-on-year, but a decline in net profit by 7.6% year-on-year, indicating mixed results in financial performance [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 566.27 billion yuan, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 23.33 billion yuan [1] - Q3 revenue was 194.99 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 3.1% year-on-year and 3.0% quarter-on-quarter, while net profit for Q3 was 7.82 billion yuan, down 32.6% year-on-year but up 23.1% quarter-on-quarter [1] - Excluding profits from BYD Electronics, Q3 net profit was 6.87 billion yuan, showing a decline of 35.1% year-on-year but an increase of 22.1% quarter-on-quarter [1] Sales Performance - Total sales volume for Q3 2025 was 1.114 million vehicles, down 1.8% year-on-year and 2.5% quarter-on-quarter [1] - Sales figures for various models included 567,000 for Ocean, 446,000 for Dynasty, 46,000 for Fangchengbao, 36,000 for Tengshi, and 2,000 for Yangwang, with Fangchengbao showing significant growth of 282.5% year-on-year [1] - Export and overseas sales reached 232,800 vehicles in Q3, marking a 146.4% increase year-on-year, with overseas sales accounting for 20.9% of total sales [1] Profitability and Cost Management - Q3 gross margin improved by 1.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, attributed to one-time factors and cost control measures [2] - The total expense ratio for Q3 was 13.0%, down 1.4 percentage points year-on-year, with significant reductions in R&D and management expense ratios [2] - The average selling price (ASP) for vehicles in Q3 was 137,700 yuan, showing a decline compared to previous quarters, while net profit per vehicle (excluding BYD) was 6,200 yuan, indicating resilience in profitability [2] Future Outlook - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 898.15 billion yuan, 996.54 billion yuan, and 1,101.29 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 15.6%, 11.0%, and 10.5% respectively [3] - Expected net profits for the same period are 36.82 billion yuan, 46.28 billion yuan, and 55.02 billion yuan, with a projected decline in 2025 followed by growth in subsequent years [3]