宏源期货董事长谢鲲：破解三大“适配”堵点 推动期货市场深度服务实体经济

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the increasing importance of the futures market as a "key anchor" for enterprises to stabilize operational expectations amid rising commodity price volatility and economic uncertainties [1][2]. Group 1: Market Context - The year has seen heightened geopolitical conflicts, differentiated economic recovery, and a rise in protectionism, leading to significant volatility in commodity prices [1][2]. - Enterprises are facing unprecedented uncertainty, making the demand for stable operational expectations and market risk management more urgent than ever [2][4]. Group 2: Futures Market Functions - The futures market provides three core functions: price discovery, risk management, and resource allocation, which help enterprises manage uncertainties [2][4]. - While the futures market cannot eliminate price volatility, it can transform unpredictable absolute price risks into relatively controllable basis risks, thereby stabilizing business expectations and investment confidence [2][4]. Group 3: Case Studies - A large state-owned cable company utilized a "floating quantity, fixed price" copper trading scheme to lock in procurement costs, stabilizing production plans and profit expectations despite market price fluctuations [3]. - In a volatile cotton market, a customized "circuit breaker cumulative put option" allowed a client to secure high selling prices and receive cash compensation, effectively mitigating price decline risks [6]. Group 4: Challenges in Risk Management - There are significant mismatches between market offerings and enterprise needs, such as price structure contradictions and a lack of tailored risk management solutions [4][7]. - Many enterprises lack professional teams to effectively utilize hedging tools, and standardized futures contracts often do not meet their specific requirements [4][7]. Group 5: Recommendations for Improvement - The article suggests accelerating product innovation and optimizing contract designs to better align with enterprise needs, particularly in emerging sectors like renewable energy [8]. - It also recommends enhancing market ecology by fostering industry client participation and improving the integration of futures and spot markets [8]. - Futures companies should transition to "risk management intermediaries" by investing in research and talent to better serve the diverse needs of enterprises [8]. Group 6: Perception Issues - Many enterprises still perceive the futures market as high-risk due to misunderstandings about trading mechanisms and the amplification of negative speculative cases [9]. - To address these issues, the company is enhancing investor education by sharing positive case studies and focusing on the value of risk management through futures [9].