科顺股份(300737)：毛利率同比改善 现金流持续优化

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue at 4.7 billion yuan, down 8.4% year-on-year, and net profit at 20 million yuan, down 84.1% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Revenue for the third quarter was 1.48 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.9% compared to the same period last year, with a net profit of -30 million yuan, down from 30 million yuan in the previous year [1] - The decline in revenue is attributed to a reduction in domestic engineering construction projects and slower project progress, leading to decreased demand in the waterproof market [2] - The net profit decline exceeded the revenue decline due to increased credit impairment provisions and reduced other income and non-operating income [2] Group 2: Margin and Cost Management - The gross profit margin improved to 24.3% in the first three quarters, up from 23.0% in the same period last year, driven by an optimized revenue structure and growth in high-margin overseas and retail businesses [2] - The company has reduced financial expenses from 70 million yuan in the previous year to 40 million yuan, and sales expenses also saw a slight decline [2] Group 3: Cash Flow and Receivables - Operating cash flow showed significant improvement, with a net cash flow from operating activities of -820 million yuan, better than -1.5 billion yuan in the previous year, due to enhanced collection of receivables and optimized supplier payment methods [2] - Accounts receivable at the end of the period stood at 4.07 billion yuan, down from 4.73 billion yuan in the previous year [2] Group 4: Investment Outlook - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 50 million yuan, 230 million yuan, and 370 million yuan respectively, down from previous estimates [3] - Despite the downward revision, macro-level support policies for real estate and infrastructure are expected to boost industry confidence, and the waterproof industry is closely linked to new real estate projects [3] - As a leading player in the waterproof sector, the company maintains advantages in brand, channel, and customer resources, and is expected to stabilize its scale during the industry downturn [3]